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Wednesday, February 12, 2003

Power Law distribution of Power Law buzz: I'm guessing now that we've had N amount of buzz over the power-law distributions of referrers and hits evident in Weblogs, that we will now see buzz go to 1/N. Good.

The whole point of looking for order in the underlying mechanics in the first place, was to try to understand the phenomenon better. For example, Bernardo Huberman points out that systems that demonstrate power law distributions also often display 'small worlds' behavior, aka 'six-degrees-of-separtion' (after a famous sociology experiment conducted at Harvard in the 60s).

Huberman and some grad students, working with Google's server logs, showed that, on average any 2 Web sites are 4 links apart, and any 2 Web pages are 19 links apart. Weblogs are likely at least that close (if you look over all Z million of them), and the tightly-knit communities are likely only a link apart (think blogrolls). So blogs may deviate from the expected norm in some cases. What can we learn from that?

I think it's interesting that Kotke quoted Steven Johnson on 'screw or embrace' the power law nature of Weblogs. One of Johnson's contributions to the literature is 'Emergence', his book about how, in realms from ant hills to networks to cities, complex behavior emerges from relatively simple underlying principles, wihtout any sort of central management.

I think we see this in the blog world daily: an idea is born, developed and put to work in hours, without a fixed set of uber-editors. I think you saw this after the Columbia disaster, when the foam-strikes-tile theory rapidly emerged within about an hour of the event. I think this is important, and is a good reason why professional news-gathering organizations should be looking rather more seriously at blogs.

Huberman's book was published early in 2002, NEC's study was published in April, 2002, but in the 2 months since this lowly post, a whole body of blog-focused scholarship has arisen. Theories have been tested and vetted and some interesting strategies for publishing and technologies for monitoring Weblogs have been proposed.

And this body of knowledge emerged, quickly, without grant writers or editorial direction. The Network Effect works its magic... stuff we couldn't imagine when the Net was hooked up...
Comments 4:26:53 PM    


New 12-inch PowerBook vs. old PB2400: I thought of my trusty 2400 when I read Dan Gillmor's note that he was holding off on a new 12-inch PowerBook until Apple puts at least a display connector on it. If you travel a lot, lightweight machines are a blessing. This very interesting photo from Philip Lord's site makes it appear some intrepid folk have OS X running on their (probably G3-equipped) 2400s. Some more good 2400 stuff here..
Comments 10:42:07 AM    

Dan Gillmor: More on Nick Denton's Pro Blogs. Welcome to the world of ``nano publishing'' -- an emerging brand of Internet-based journalism that is helping shape the future... Interesting, as is Mihail Lari's Blogging Network where writers get paid according to readership [full disclosure: I'm an unpaid advisor to Blogging Network]...
Comments 9:21:07 AM    

kotke.org: Screw the power law.
Comments 9:14:13 AM    



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