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Wednesday, July 30, 2003 |
Calm before the storm: tomorrow night, gulker.com is hosting a celebrity chef dinner, courtesy of friends Mike and Cathy, winning charity-auction bidders on dinner for 8 by chef Gerald Hirigoyen, co-owner of highly-regarded San Francisco restaurants Pastis, Fringale and Piperade. Mike and Cathy are just moving back into their home after a remodel, and thought it would be easier to have the dinner at our house... what a pleasant state of affairs. Amateur chef, moi, am looking forward to it with great anticipation. We may set up a kitchen cam for the big event...
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9:27:27 PM
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Market prediction systems: '"tend to predict events really well when no one person knows the answer -- when information is distributed among many people with different knowledge bases," said Joyce Berg, a University of Iowa professor who helped organize the political trading floors. "Markets have been shown to be really good at aggregating that information." '
"The price of orange juice futures has even been shown to accurately predict the weather, noted David Pennock, a senior research scientist at Overture Services who has done extensive surveys on the reliability of such markets."
"Traders on the Hollywood Stock Exchange last year correctly picked 35 of the 40 Oscar nominees in the eight biggest categories, according to The New Yorker magazine." From Wired News...
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11:34:28 AM
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More on the Pentagon's cancelled Policy Analysis Market. "Projects similar to PAM, like the Iowa Electronic Markets, which speculate on election results, have been surprisingly reliable indicators of what's going to happen next. " according to Wired News. There had to be a way to use this thing without making it an embarrassment... I don't get the feeling that there are a lot of smart people in the current administration...
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11:25:43 AM
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Evolving, self-modifying hardware, using genetic algorithms, is the goal of this distributed program from the School of Cognitive and Computing Sciences at the University of Sussex. Download a Java client, and you can "host an island with a population of circuits struggling for survival in a hostile online world." Shades of George Dyson's "Darwin among the Machines"... tip from Boing Boing...
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7:55:14 AM
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Updated 4/16/04; 12:50:57 PM
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